"statistical noise" = "take seriously"
Annnnd, Gruber was right...
I explained what I meant within the context of my environment...to use Gruber as a defense of your thesis is kind of vicious isn’t it?
I think an argument can be made that all who say, “No worries, just noise” are ignoring minute changes in the total lead.
Look, if Trump had a six or seven or ten point lead then a .2 move might be a lot. But for an already tiny 1.8 point lead, then 11% in one day seems like a lot.
Beat me up if you like, but I’m just trying to observe reality.
Believe me, if the lead Trump had were BIGGER, then I wouldn’t be inclined to post “not good” on such a small change. This doesn’t SEEM small to me considering the tightness of the poll.
JMHO.
Fixing my previous post....
I explained what I meant within the context of my environment...to use Gruber as a defense of your thesis is kind of vicious isn’t it?
I think an argument can be made that all who say, “No worries, just noise” are ignoring large changes in the total lead. Why are they “large”? Because the lead is so small
Look, if Trump had a six or seven or ten point lead then a .2 move might NOT be a lot. But for an already tiny 1.8 point lead, then 11% in one day seems like a lot.
Beat me up if you like, but I’m just trying to observe reality.
Believe me, if the lead Trump had were BIGGER, then I wouldn’t be inclined to post “not good” on such a small change. This doesn’t SEEM small to me considering the tightness of the poll.
JMHO.