The top area on the list, Manassas Park City, is a geographically small area independent of neighboring FFX and PW counties, and about 25 miles out of DC. It has been a haven for illegals, and is an ugly, dirty, area. However, it is interesting that it is at the top of the list. In talking to people who know the area fairly well, it has been undergoing a bit of a demographic shift, as rising real estate prices have driven commuters further and further from the city, and into areas such as this.
There are two possible explanations for this early voting. One is that illegals, as well as hispanic immigrants, are voting in droves. The other is that the increase in white and, I believe, Asian, residents in Manassas Park are accounting for the increase. The former is bad for Trump. But the latter is good. I would note that I drove through the area recently, as well as the similar areas of Manassas, and saw more little confederate flags than Hillary bumper stickers (it was 2 to 1, LOL). And Don’t Tread on Me license plates are everywhere out there. So even though it is a very Democratic area, it is not monolithic, and this early voting could easily be conservatives who are fed up.
Yes. Lots and lots of don’t tread on me plates in Prince William county - and I’ve seen people of many ethnicities / races with these plates. Hard to really put your finger on the scale. I’m actually optimistic in Virginia based on Prince William. My neighborhood in fx 90 percent Hillary however.
VA is a voter ID state and legal status is checked when getting a license. The additional factor is that early voting is extremely limited. It isn’t a free option, you have to have a reason for open voting.