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Trump Surges In Poll
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" poll ^ | SEP 30, 2016 | ARMAND EMAMDJOMEH and DAVID LAUTER

Posted on 09/30/2016 1:16:08 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler

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To: lee martell

‘Fly Donald, fly like an eagle, till we’re free.’

Beautiful. Over at The_Donald subreddit, the minute you posted that they would turn it into a meme. It would be great...except the eagle would probably be green. :)


61 posted on 09/30/2016 4:39:27 AM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: lee martell

Fly Donald, fly like an eagle, till we’re free.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Love the picture that paints in my mind’s eye .....

One thing is for sure ..... the guy is working his tail off to make it happen .... God be with you, Donald!


62 posted on 09/30/2016 4:47:44 AM PDT by Qiviut (In Islam you have to die for. The God I worship died for me. [Franklin Graham])
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To: apillar

It’s just the way they do it. They round up/down each candidate’s number then take the difference. They don’t round up the difference itself


63 posted on 09/30/2016 4:52:21 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: Baldwin77

I believe the gray sections (in the graph, at the source) indicate the MOE


64 posted on 09/30/2016 4:54:02 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: Jeff Chandler
This is what happens when the thrill is gone and Hillary Clinton realizes her latest endorser has a very checkered past....
65 posted on 09/30/2016 4:56:58 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: BlueStateRightist

I agree with a previous poster that Trump has lost every debate based on “debate norms”. However, it never impacts his standing because in a way, we see him as mocking the overall process. We all know how silly it is - they aren’t debates, just modified dueling press conferences with blatant bias. Trump is exposing that bias in a way never seen before (except maybe Newt in 2012). He ridicules people who we all ridicule in our minds. He’s us, and we are him. It’s why he will win. His support cannot be measured by conventional means, as longtime pollster Pat Caddell has been saying.


66 posted on 09/30/2016 5:01:39 AM PDT by Tuxedo (The few, the proud, the deplorable...)
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To: Qiviut

Fly Donald, fly like an eagle, till we’re free!!!
_________________________________________________

I, too, love that picture of President Trump liberating us from all the insane tyranny and restoring faith in our government to once again be of, by and for we the people!!!
Cannot wait to see honor and respect waiting to greet our new leader as he lands in other countries in Air Force One!!!
God Bless our Mr. Brexit!!! November 8 will be a new Independence Day!!! It will be glorious to behold!!!


67 posted on 09/30/2016 5:03:22 AM PDT by edie1960
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To: dp0622

Geraldo just stated on Fox ‘n Friends that Trump has lost his momentum and is sliding in the polls.


68 posted on 09/30/2016 5:09:06 AM PDT by TTFlyer
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To: Ken H

The polls are all over the place and a fair number of them have Trump behind, I don’t see how anyone can be comforted by viewing a positive poll as “the real poll”. Add in the likelihood of widespread fraud and illegal alien votes and you’ve an election very much in question.


69 posted on 09/30/2016 5:17:51 AM PDT by lordsofthejungle (Yuge Rueage Imminent)
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To: Jeff Chandler
Fly Donald, fly like an eagle, till we’re free.

That's just weird.

He's quoting an Eagles song.

70 posted on 09/30/2016 5:25:40 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility (We need a separation of press and state!)
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To: dp0622

Graveyarder here, too. Just got home (Mountain Time).

Nice to come home to good news ;)


71 posted on 09/30/2016 5:26:00 AM PDT by Dana1960
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To: Personal Responsibility
Fly Donald, fly like an eagle, till we’re free.

That's just weird.

He's quoting an Eagles song.

-----------------------------------------

Not the Eagles, its from the "Fly Like an Eagle" by the Steve Miller Band.

72 posted on 09/30/2016 5:38:52 AM PDT by drop 50 and fire for effect ("Work relentlessly, accomplish much, remain in the background, and be more than you seem.)
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To: dp0622

What’s the difference between this and the polls that show it even. I’m nervous and need freeper positive reinforcement


73 posted on 09/30/2016 5:44:14 AM PDT by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: drop 50 and fire for effect

Yeah, of course you’re right. My brain’s still a bit muddy this morning - time for some more coffee.


74 posted on 09/30/2016 5:51:49 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility (We need a separation of press and state!)
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To: Jeff Chandler

I’ve been an Eagles fan since birth, so it made me think “Fly, Donald fly, on the road to victory!”


75 posted on 09/30/2016 5:53:25 AM PDT by Freestate316 (Know what you believe and why you believe it.)
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To: cgbg

The scale in this chart is so bizarre—it is straight out of that old classic: “How to lie with statistics”.

Small moves are small moves—sticking them on a big graph is not helpful.


The Scaling it fine. Two months ago I wrote an email to the LAtimes Poll Survey Director Jill Darling because the scaling was biased toward Hillary, making some things appear that her margins were bigger then Trumps. I ask if they could correct the scaling.

Jill’s Reply to me is below:
TWO DAYS LATER TRUE TO HER WORD THEY CHANGED THE SCALING TO FAIRLY REPRESENT THE DATA.

Hello John,

Your point about the need for consistent scales is very well taken! We are in the process of working on making sure we are presenting those subgroup numbers in a way that makes good visual sense. What you pointed out about inconsistent scales is an artifact of the automated process of pulling in data and creating the graphs, and an oversight on our parts, not anything anyone here is doing to try to influence others. We just care about reporting our results!

Appreciated your thoughtful feedback, and wanted to let you know we’re already on the case. Should see an improvement in the information presented on that page in the next couple of days.

Regards,
Jill


Jill E. Darling
Survey Director
USC Center for Economic and Social Research (CESR)
635 Downey Way, Suite 312 (VPD 3332)
Los Angeles | CA 90089-3332


76 posted on 09/30/2016 6:01:22 AM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: dp0622

]aint buying what she’s selling!!\

Ain’t buyin’ what she’s stealing neither!


77 posted on 09/30/2016 6:06:29 AM PDT by headstamp 2 (Fear is the mind killer.)
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To: BlueStateRightist

Well....that’s a psychological trick that may help me get through the days when Trump is sliding a bit in the polls.....I admit it...I follow all the msm numbers...and their story that Trump is slipping so far behind that it’s getting out of reach has me frustrated.....Florida, and Colorado....would love to see some seriously pro-Trump polls there!


78 posted on 09/30/2016 6:23:30 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Jeff Chandler
This poll has been making me happy.

But not to be blind-sided by one poll or another, I want to see more polls going the same way. And I'd like to see the perception part of this poll (Who Do You Think Will Win) show a Trump victory! Too many Trump supporters don't think he'll win

79 posted on 09/30/2016 6:24:23 AM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

I kinda liked it.


80 posted on 09/30/2016 6:31:44 AM PDT by reasonisfaith ("...because they received not the love of the truth, that they might be saved." (2 Thessalonians))
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