Thanks. Ok, so there are “active” (get ballots) “inactive” (don’t receive ballots) and “prereg” (kids coming of age who registered but who can’t vote in this election.
GOP 976,141
DEM 973,460
GOP +2,681: Even the slightest GOTV advantage will be huge, and if Trump takes just 5% of indies he wins big.
Interestingly, “inactive” Dems +22k more than GOP, and prereg heavily favors . . . GOP +13,000 net!
Glad to help. Thanks for the analysis. I think Trump can win CO, Ted Cruz’s backing should boost his chances.
Note that the numbers were as of 9/6, so it might be a good idea to check again in week or two to see if they have updated it.