Plan on the Democrats to try the hanging chad con and other shenanigans if the race is tight. Lets hope that we are better prepared this time.
Thanks.
One thing to keep in mind is that the rest of the state is not static. There has been a large influx of new residents to Central Florida from Puerto Rico. Puerto Rico’s economy is in the crapper, so many of those with the means to leave are doing so. Puerto Ricans are American citiznes, and a lot of them are registering to vote.
“Conclusion: Preliminary results from Hillsborough is pointing to a very tight race, with TRUMP NARROWLY IN THE LEAD.”
Not to be argumentative but I’m not sure I agree with this assessment. In essence (if I’m reading the numbers correctly) gop has already basically increased its’ 2012 lead in absentee ballots by 65% (132,000 in 2016 as compared to 79,000 in 2012). Then if (and I acknowledge if) Trump is doing well with independents he would be increasing the lead more.
As far as Hillsborough County I don’t think you posted its’ 2012 absentee ballot figures but if your calculations are accurate correlating the absentee figures to the Axiom poll of Trump having a one point lead this would be a seven point swing from Obama’s margin of victory in this county in 2012.
With both of these observations I’m not sure why these figures would be pointing to a very tight race and not to a narrow but at least decent Trump lead.
Am I missing something?