The Reuters/Ipsos estimate of turnout (EV's 243 Trump-242 Hillary)

Reuters and Ipsos ^ | 9/15/2016 | Staff

[GilGil]

Explore this scenario. Or create your own.

This scenario is based on our default turnout. Try it yourself. Click on “overall turnout” below to adjust turnout. Or click on “add a group” to start building your own version of how this campaign will play out.

[GilGil]

This is a bit dated, but you can see Hillary is collapsing. This election is over. Just a few more weeks, and we will be talking about president-elect Trump!

[goldstategop]

They still predict Hillary will win.

That said, if that really jibed with reality, they would be calling the race over.

MSM is comnpletely in the tank for her.

[GilGil]

The race is over just like it was in the primaries early on.

For Reuters to admit this much means that the race is over on so many levels.

[Jeff Chandler]

The Donald only needs to keep her steady as she goes through the debates then guide her to victory.

The Hillary needs to keep from crashing against the jetty and capsizing.

[Jeff Chandler]

Likelihood to Vote Calculation
.
Each respondent is given a rank based on a calculation of their likelihood to vote. That calculation is based on two factors: their demographic profile, such as race, sex and age, using historic demographic voting patterns released by the Census Bureau after general elections; as well as their self-reported likelihood to vote. To improve the accuracy of the calculation, Reuters/Ipsos also conducted an exercise in the spring of 2016 matching respondents with actual voter registrations and voting history. All respondents are then ranked according to our calculation of their likelihood to vote.

You can throw all that out the window. There is a large crossover of democrats this year, but the big story is the numbers of people who haven't voted in a long time. Those people won't be included in the "likely voters".

[GilGil]

That was my whole point in posting this. In just a few weeks we will be talking about president elect Trump. This race is over!

[Jeff Chandler]

That was my whole point in posting this.

Glad I could help.

[GilGil]

The pleasure is really all mine.

I’m here to make you look good!

[DownInFlames]

Trump 316, Clinton 222

[GilGil]

Nice.

I have been seeing several calculations that puts Trump in the 320-340 ev’s range consistently.

We’ll take it.

[sergeantdave]

Everything from Reuters is a lie. Reuters is the most anti-Isaeli propaganda outlet outside of the Arab press. Reuters is the last gasp of old British fascists to keep alive Goebbel’s Nazi Ministry of Propaganda. Reuters is a hate site.