[Dave W]

RI, NY and NJ - not a chance. RI is the most democratic state in the nation and easily the least likely to flip. NY is more democratic than California and NJ is a tease, but is never close.

NH and Maine's 3 EVs are a much more reasonable guess to turn red.

[vooch]

RI - polls from August show Trump 5pts behind
NJ - Christie will deliver
NY - Rudy G. will Deliver enough votes in outer Boros & LI to put Trump over The Edge. Trump getting 20% of NYC Blacks