Posted on 09/15/2016 9:54:57 AM PDT by usafa92
So its about +6 democrat of overall voters, +4 for RVs’, and +2 for LV’s.
VA was probably one of the most likely states competitive states for Hillary to hold. If she loses VA especially badly it means she lost the DC region folks and if she’s lost that EVERYTHING is virtually in play...
Very few if any states will be guarantees for the Dems of they lose VA big.
Most suspicious item:
: the respondents were asked who they voted for in 2012 and 51% said Obama, 39% Romney.
But Romney got 47% of the vote in 2012.
Hopefully Trump can seal this deal.
I think Trump has 260EV in the bag.
to get to 269, he needs one of the following...
Vir
Colo
Wis
Penn
(Nev + NH)
(Nev + sweep Maine)
what do you think?
I’ve been calling 303-235 for awhile. That is the whole South, VA included, plus NV, IA, OH, ME2, NH and the surprise of PA. But i may have up that to 312 because CO is looking good right now. Upper limit is 343 which includes MI, WI and NM which are all close. After that he could peel OR to,take him to 349. But i’ll stick with 303.
I'm going to Trumps Colorado Springs rally on Saturday. I went to his last rally in Colorado Springs a month ago. It was at that point that I figured he had a decent shot at Colorado. More than the crowd size, it's the diversity of the crowds that is impressive. Color, age, sex and economic diversity across the board.
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