“The surge doesn’t change the fact that Clinton leads, if only by a thin margin”
What utter garbage: POLLS ARE BASED ON TURNOUT MODELS. TURNOUT MODELS ARE BASED ON REGISTRATION.
But they don’t change at all, or admit their models are wrong.
Its enthusiasm, stupid.
People may say they’ll vote for Hillary but they don’t say how motivated they are to cast a ballot for her.
On the Democratic side, no one is excited about her.
No matter what the polls say, turnout won’t be like in 2012.
Obama isn’t on the ballot and every election is different.
True.