[monkeyshine]

I was just looking at the Emerson College polls Aug 25-28 for OH, PA and MI.

In PA they have weighting of D 45: R 35: I 21 and results are 46% to 43% for Clinton.

In MI they have D 40: R 29: I 21 with results of 45% to 40% for Clinton.

In OH they have D 37: R 31: I 32 with 43.5% to 42.5% for Trump.

If those weightings are wrong as I think they are, then Trump is likely ahead to way ahead in all 3. They claim the weighting was adjusted to fit 2012 results. Unlikely that those weights will hold, plus doing the weighting after the fact by censoring data causes credibility problems.

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_865ec63b1c494be78da4af7d7834766c.pdf

[just me]

I live in a democrat area in Michigan, I have not seen one Hillary sign, only a few Trump signs. I know a few democrats who said they will set this one out. They don’t like Hillary at all.

[Helicondelta]

Emerson College?

1- Those polls are old.

2- Emerson College doesn’t have the track record of accuracy that Ipsos/Reuters has:

http://www.businessinsider.com/most-accurate-polls-of-2012-election-obama-romney-ppp-daily-kos-gallup-rasmussen-2012-11