Where do you see Hillary’s ceiling? 32% in IN or higher?
I’ve thought she won’t get more than 40% but in IN its stunning!
A generic Democrat even when losing draws in the low 40s.
Not Hillary.
Hillary can’t play anywhere where people believe in law and order over party, which means she’s got the deep blue states but even there her support will be down compared to a genetic D. I’d say if IN a generic D when they lose gets 40. Hillary can’t get any higher than 35 at best.
Hillary will underperform everywhere. Only the bluest of blue states where she can lose 5-10% vs a typical D would attract and win is the only place she is remotely “safe”
Any stare where dems General aren’t getting 54% of the vote or better, is not remotely safe for hillatry.
The Pence Effect? In 1988 with Hoosier Quayle on the ticket Indiana went 60-40 for BushQuayle. Dukakis actually got 39.69%, so technically below 40%.
Is Hillary worse than Dukakis? He was pretty bad. Hard to say.