Is this poll legit? I’m trying not to fall for wishful thinking
> trying not to fall for wishful thinking
The polls are going to roll all over before November.
We must try not to allow these pollsters to drive our enthusiasm level. Polls are a snapshot in time of only 9% of people who can be reached for comment when they call. I do not trust them to predict the outcome of >120 million voters.
When I am having doubts, I go listen to Trump’s acceptance speech again, and I know he’s with us and that he is a winner. Always bet on a winner.
Shillery is a whiner and definitely not a winner.
Its a legit poll and it uses a valid scientific polling methodology developed by the University of Southern California in conjunction with the LATimes.
The same methodology was very predictive in 2012.
https://alpdata.rand.org/index.php?page=election2012#election-forecast
It’s a legit poll, but I don’t pay any attention to anything but state by state polls.
The FNC panel told us last night that HRC has a 7-point lead, and at this stage of the campaign, only something cataclysmic could change things.
Well, I think it’s legitimate to feel some encouragement when Trump is in the lead in this poll. I don’t think it’s a biased poll.
On the other hand, it always seems to move within the margin of error, so there is certainly nothing conclusive about it.
History warns us that no poll is conclusive except the one taken on November 8th!
Go Trump!!
You are wise to be apprehensive.
The poll doesn’t mean Jack. Absolutely nothing.
Trump ISN’T surging and hasn’t taken the lead of anything.
If the lines are inside the grey area there is less than any meaningful certainty - call it within the margin of error.
These polls are posted by people who failed 6th grade civics and are just looking for a buzz.
Here’s how to read these *worthless* DAILY polls:
1. If both lines aren’t OUTSIDE the grey area - don’t pay any heed, it’s a 50/50 race.
2. Unless both lines are consistently OUTSIDE the grey area *over time* (days/weeks) nothing is really relevant.
3. Even if Trump WINS by 10% there will be a massive retroactive voter fraud attempt by the Commies. They can easily pull off a 5-7% difference and maybe 10%. It depends on the state.
People who post these inane polls every day are just pleasuring themselves. Hopefully sanity and intelligence will return.