“If you want to win the Presidency, you got to win Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania.”
And that’s all Trump has to do if he can hold all the states Romney won. The swing .5% IN FL, 3% in OH and 4.5% in PA. That gets him 273 EV’s.
He has to win the small states too. One good thing about the Electoral College is that it limits vast cheating to just the state where it is being done. Chicago can’t affect anything but Illinois. Also, those that vote as a block will not help smaller states, unless they live there.