I posted this two days ago. The splits are very good, quite accurate. The same poll had a very good sample (over 1000). The criticism was that it was land line only. So, even then, I think at worst you’re looking at a tie.
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Here’s an INDISPUTABLE poll that shows great news for Trump:
Florida voter registration numbers!
http://www.news-journalonline.com/news/20160820/gop-voters-surge-in-volusia-flagler-counties
“... 17.6: Percent growth in Republican voters in Flagler County since primary election of 2014. Republicans now outnumber Democrats in that county by more than 5,000, after leaning blue as recently as 2011. “The biggest factor ... is definitely Trump,” said Anne-Marie Shaffer, the Flagler Republican Executive Committee chairwoman. “We’ve always done events and the door-to-door campaigns. Nothing has changed on how we approach voters to do the outreach. I have seen a significant increase in voter interest and participation ... and it’s the interest in Trump.” In Flagler, Democrats and no-party affiliation voters grew by 3 percent each...
12,370,930: Total number of voters in Florida. This is up 3.7 percent from 2014. Statewide, Democrats grew just 1.4 percent in the last two years, as compared to Republicans, who picked up more than 6 percent.”
...and more.