[LS]

I think a 5-6 point D sample is right, but not a 10 point female oversample.

[Red Steel]

I think it’s going to be close to even R v. D.

The Rs did out poll the Dems in the primaries by about 1/2 million votes, and take out California, it’s around 3 million more R voters than D who voted in the primaries.