I think you can go back and see the same thing with Carter and Ford....where Ford just had minimal enthusiasm going. Go look at Romney and McCain’s episode....neither had overflowing crowds to show up. It doesn’t matter how polling goes....will that guy actually show up and vote?
I’ll even go back to Gore-Bush and Bush-Kerry....none of the three had charisma or enthusiasm. It was a fairly even match-up because of that.
Go find a hundred people who say they are pro-Hillary and ask them the day after the election....IF they voted. At best, she might get 75-percent of her crowd to remember to stop off and vote. Trump-enthusiasts will be nearer between 95 and 100 percent to show up.
Even 75 percent is high, if she can get 75 percent, she is president
If I remember, I think the real number is around 40 and that is consider a good number
a lot people just don’t vote
They work late
forget
long day and just want to relax
kids or other obligations
stuff like that
That is why they rely heavily on Get Out The Vote campaigns
because they work
Trump needs to do the same
If Cruz was a true Republican and conservative, he would be working with the Trump campaign to help him with the GOTV effort, Cruz seemed to have his voters very well identified. But forget him, Trump needs to have people building that network.
But Trump does do the rallies and many people show up and they are enthusiastic about him, and that is a great thing, if 50% show up, he will be president