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To: CaptainK

I’ll tell you this...I know a LOT of UNLIKELY voters who are voting for the Trump. People who haven’t voted in decades. Silent Majority.


3 posted on 08/05/2016 11:40:24 AM PDT by Huck (This is my opinion. There are many like it but this one is mine.)
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To: Huck

I agree, and the fact he is attracting disenfranchised voters, means most polls are not going to capture this support, as they use questions like did you vote in the last election? In order to determine if the voter is likely to vote... Reverse Bradley effect is at play with Trump too... where folks will not admit they plan to vote for him, but will on election day.. he always polls stronger in online polling where respondent believes they are anonymous than on traditional phone polling.

My guess is that a GOOD poll, with solid internals etc... Trump is probably running 3-5 points higher than the polls report.

Trump hasn’t had the best week, he’s probably seem some softening of support among the fringes, but these polls showing 10 or 15 point swings are ludicrous. Just like the poll showing Clinton up in GA... laughable folks.

3 months until election day... I have no doubt Trump is taking this thing big.


24 posted on 08/05/2016 12:02:39 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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