Posted on 08/05/2016 11:38:47 AM PDT by CaptainK
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump narrowed slightly among likely voters in the latest iteration of the Ipsos/Reuters tracking poll released Thursday.
Clinton led Trump by four points, 43-39. In last week's installment of the Ipsos/Reuters poll, Clinton led Trump by five points, 40-35, among likely voters.
Though her lead decreased slightly, Clinton gained three percentage points of support, from polling at 40 percent last week to 43 percent in the latest poll.
(Excerpt) Read more at talkingpointsmemo.com ...
i hope like hell MI is in play...it should be...
Poll of ‘Americans” - so, could be South Americans. And the Democrat skew is way too high. Total Crap. Oh... margin of error on independents is 8.1%. Balance the Dem/Repub correctly with Johnson and Stein and Trump has the lead.
Sorry. Even crap would say that is crap.
I agree, and the fact he is attracting disenfranchised voters, means most polls are not going to capture this support, as they use questions like did you vote in the last election? In order to determine if the voter is likely to vote... Reverse Bradley effect is at play with Trump too... where folks will not admit they plan to vote for him, but will on election day.. he always polls stronger in online polling where respondent believes they are anonymous than on traditional phone polling.
My guess is that a GOOD poll, with solid internals etc... Trump is probably running 3-5 points higher than the polls report.
Trump hasn’t had the best week, he’s probably seem some softening of support among the fringes, but these polls showing 10 or 15 point swings are ludicrous. Just like the poll showing Clinton up in GA... laughable folks.
3 months until election day... I have no doubt Trump is taking this thing big.
Poll looked good. I think it was a 10 point Cankles lead, but some of the weak performance in W. Michigan is of concern. Again, though it’s “Detroit News.”
Hillary’s support is simply this:
Folks who are going to vote D no matter who the candidate is... and Independents who are wary of Trump... that’s it, that’s her entire support... and she has nothing else... and guess what? Trump in every single poll, even these insane ones that show it lopsided for Hillary, when you look at the internals you see Trump is ALWAYS up big with I’s when they show these internals.
Trump is weaker than traditional R among Republicans at this stage of the race, but he’ll shore most if not all of that up by election day.... The only way Hillary goes up big is by intentionally sampling way outside the realistic expectations on election day.
And the soft fringe will vacillate from now til Election Day. If they haven’t made a choice yet, they are squishes.
Trump just has to be more likable than Hillary. Not a tall order. Some of the squishies will stay home, replaced by older white males coming out of the woodwork.
I’m telling you. I never knew there were so many people that had long since given up on voting. I meet a lot of them. ALL in for Trump, and MOTIVATED.
The latest Rasmussen Reports poll:
A post-convention bounce appears to have given Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton her biggest lead over Republican rival Donald Trump since June in our latest weekly White House Watch survey. This is the first update that includes both the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 44% support to Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 40%. Six percent (6%) prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while three percent (3%) back Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Another three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch
I agree, a lot of disnefranchised voters are going to show up on Election day... I really don’t see any way Trump doesn’t win by 8-10 on the low end when all is said and done.
Yep - or very close..
Rasmussen is likely voters which matches this poll in their results. All the registered voter polls with 9 and 15 point leads are a joke. But these are the ones the MSM is concentrating on.
Point is made here that these support for Clinton increased from 40 to 43. However they seem not to mention the fact that Donald Trump support went from 35 to 39 that is actually an increase 25% greater then what Hillary Clinton received.
Also is this the poll which just last week dramatically changed the way they ask the questions and in so doing immediately gave Hillary Clinton a five or six point lead where a week before she had been trailing by as many as five point’s?
Everyone need to calm the heck down, it’s called a convention bounce people, Trump will be back on top soon enough.
Trumps GOT THIS!
Looky here...what I was just sayin’ :-)
Trump’s Campaign Focused On Attracting Unlikely Voters, A Memo Shows
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3456900/posts
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