Posted on 08/04/2016 12:40:16 PM PDT by TigerClaws
This week RunSwitch PR and Harper Polling conducted a politics and issues survey among 500 registered voters in the state of Kentucky, ahead of the Fancy Farm political picnic. This week RunSwitch PR and Harper Polling are releasing the political questions and will release the cultural questions next week.
The State of the Races
U.S. Senate Ballot
As we enter Fancy Farm weekend, the traditional kickoff for Kentucky’s fall campaigns, Senator Rand Paul leads his Democratic challenger Jim Gray, the Mayor of Lexington, by 12 points, 50%-38%.
Senator Paul receives 76% of the Republican vote, one point better than Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump’s party support (75%). Paul earns the support of one-in-three Democratic voters (30%) while Gray takes 60% of Democrats. Gray receives stronger support on the Senate ballot from Democratic voters than does Hillary Clinton, who is getting just 54% of Democrats on the Presidential ballot. Both Gray and Clinton are suffering from massive defections among registered Democrats.
Among voters who say that their opinions do not align with either of the two major parties, 44% support Paul for reelection, compared to 18% for Gray, which indicates Paul has appeal among independent voters.
Voters who remain undecided on the Senate ballot are favorable ground for Paul as they support Trump on the Presidential ballot by a margin of 44%-21% over Clinton.
The last Democrat to win a U.S. Senate race in Kentucky was Wendell Ford in 1992; he is also the last Democrat running for U.S. Senate or President to eclipse 50% of the vote in Kentucky.
Presidential Ballot
As the Presidential election makes the turn for home, Republican nominee Donald Trump holds a 49%-36% lead over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton among Kentucky voters. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein garner just 5% and 2% of the vote, respectively. Kentucky has become a reliably red state in presidential elections since 2000, and it appears will stay in that column this year. Kentucky has eight electoral votes.
Clinton holds a three-point lead (43%-40%) over Trump among women while men go big for Trump at 59%-29%. Trump garners 75% of the Republican vote while Libertarian Gary Johnson earns just 6% support from Republicans. Clinton is winning 12% of Republicans, and just 54% of Democrats. Nearly one-third of registered Democrats (32%) are supporting Trump. Clinton’s scare in Kentucky’s May primary, in which she barely bested Bernie Sanders, was a harbinger of problems to come with her party’s voters in the general election.
Trump is viewed favorably by 54% of Kentucky voters while 40% register an unfavorable opinion. Thirty-nine percent describe their opinion of Trump as very favorable while those who have a very unfavorable of Trump account for 32% of the electorate. Among women, those numbers are reversed with 36% having a very unfavorable opinion of him versus a smaller 32% who are very favorable toward Trump.
Forty-four percent of voters have a favorable opinion of Hillary Clinton while 49% hold an unfavorable opinion of her. Her image among women is a net positive at 49% favorable to 43% unfavorable. One-in-three Democratic voters report an unfavorable opinion of Clinton (33%).
This is why we are getting 24/7 media meltdown anti-Trump.
Trump is up nationally and they've got no choice but to expose their complete bias.
They will never show up in any of these polls.
That’s why DHS is taking over electronic voting and the ID laws are being knocked down. Dems know they have to steal it and have to steal it big.
I am sure they will try to steal it. This is in the DNC playbook. I pray they will not get away with it.
All that’s left to do is making sure to get people out to vote this November.
We will counter the official “Hillary +10 points meme” every chance we get, so that there’s no way this election gets stolen from the people.
Even after all that, there’s no guarantee that some state GOP old boy machine will fight the voter fraud, hence giving the result away to Hillary.
And that, my FRiends, is just the beginning of the Trump presidency. [I also wish to see Trump mock Obama with a much bigger fake president-elect seal and podium and whatnots. Just to rob it in his face.]
Romney won this by 23. A ways to go.
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