BigEd. Good catch. This is the new game the media pollsters are playing. They up the samples of Dems. Reuters just upped their sample to be 44% Democratic. The net effect is a drop of about 10% Independents. Dem turnout in 2012 was 38%. Does anyone think that 5% more Dems are going to turn out for Hillary? Everyone on here needs to relax, let the process play out and let things settle down. The media was 100% predictable here and everyone is falling for it.
Gallup has a running poll of Party Affiliation and it is essentially tied right now between R and D.
In 2012, the Dems had a 3 percentage point advantage.
All the polls are assuming the best case scenario for Dems....and Hillary is running way behind Obama 2012 support, crowds, votes in primaries etc.
Trump will win with at least 52 percent of the vote.
Period.