Trump hasn’t trailed in PA in last 2 polls (lead and tie). His lead in bellwether Luzerne Co is huge. He’ll win PA.
He has yet to lead in VA that I am aware of, though it’s about 2-3 points.
Philly precincts will simply 'adjust' their turnout to compensate. They will crank it from the last election's 110% up to 125%, whatever it takes.
“His lead in bellwether Luzerne Co is huge. He’ll win PA.”
I hope so. Ballot-box stuffing worries me in PA
“He has yet to lead in VA that I am aware of, though it’s about 2-3 points.”
Yeah, Northern VA, heavily populated is ALL fedgov workers, so he’s not going to win VA.
PPP is a Dem poll also
The most recent VA poll (Hampton U) had Trump in the lead, though by less than one percent. Because Trump’s number was rounded down and Hillary’s up, the RCP average lists the poll as tied.