[Zakeet]

I think we can all agree that the polls clearly show that the Witch needs to keep on campaigning with the Royal Idiot!

[Donglalinger]

At the rate they’re going Reuters might have Hillary up by 30 next week

[Lexington Green]

Rigged Polls help to cover Rigged Elections.

[zzwhale]

swirling down the toilet......
spin hillary spin...
realize where you are going
...

[Red Steel]

The NBC Spews poll just released with 3% Shill lead. Screwy internals and something called a "bootstrap confidence interval" to derive their results. . . I wonder if my old statistics book can tell me so about bootstrap? I don't recall.

- - - -

"The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll tracks voter preferences and attitudes on a weekly basis throughout the 2016 election cycle.

Results are released every Tuesday at 6:00AM and are among registered voters.

Results for the week of July 4, 2016 through July 10, 2016 are among a national sample of 7,869 registered voters (+/- 1.4%), 2,059 registered Republican voters (+/-2.8%) and 2,634 registered Democratic voters (+/-2.5%). Complete error estimates can be found in the methodology section below"

...

Election Tracking poll. Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling error can be calculated.

All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error, including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and measurement error.

To assess the variability in the estimates and account for design effects, we create a bootstrap confidence interval to produce an error estimate. [We?]

The bootstrap confidence interval for this survey is plus or minus 1.4 percentage point for registered voters.

To calculate the bootstrap confidence interval we use the weighted data to generate 5000 independent samples and calculate the 95% confidence intervals for the weighted average. When analyzing the survey results and their accuracy, this error estimate should be taken into consideration in much the same way that analysis of probability polls takes into account the margin of sampling error."

- - - - -

Overall unweighted metrics...

Indie/Other 40.03% 3176
Dem 33.47% 2634
Rep 26.16% 2059

[Nero Germanicus]

It is not unusual for state level polls with their smaller samples to show variance. Besides, its too early to put much stock in any poll.

[Gritty]

My guess for why the NBC/WSJ poll numbers for Hillary are higher is they are counting all the voting blocs (including the dead).

[Signalman]

NBC polls are absolute garbage. Remember them back in the primaries. They were way off.