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Sea Ice Anomaly
University of Illinois ^ | 5/16/2016 | Stephen Triesch

Posted on 05/16/2016 7:27:10 PM PDT by Steve_Seattle

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To: justa-hairyape

No, the daily differences in “reported” Antarctic sea ice are much too large for them to be correct. See above for more detailed info.

The El Nino is too far away from the Antarctic Ocean to melt any sea ice. In a few months, the currents will move warmer water around, but the effect is slower and smaller than yo seem to think. It IS there, just smaller than these erroneous values recently.


61 posted on 05/17/2016 1:15:02 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: justa-hairyape

True. I cannot think of any rational reason for the Arctic data to be tracking accurately, while the Antarctic data is so far irregular.

Could be the difference in latitudes of the two sea ice areas.

But the Arctic reports seems to be behaving themselves.


62 posted on 05/17/2016 1:17:27 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
That sea ice in Antarctica is obviously surface ice. El Nino warmed water is surface water. Arctic regions are shielded from warm El Nino surface water. And of course there is volcanic activity affecting Antarctic ice.

In our current situation we need to assume that every report from a US government agency is falsified. We obviously have one of the most corrupt governments in our history. About 2/3 of the population realizes that now. About 2-3 weeks ago, Europe reported massive crop failures due to 50 year record freezes. Will be a bad year for French wine. Serbia just had snow a couple of days ago wiping out 70 % of some of their crops. One must assume that the past week in the US will produce similar crop failures. Snow in Michigan a couple days ago. First time on that date in close to 50 years.

63 posted on 05/17/2016 2:37:39 AM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

El Nino affects the Antarctic ice in two ways. Through surface water warmth and also the increased atmospheric density due to greater evaporation. So the two combined, higher surface temps and thicker atmosphere. Just a guess.


64 posted on 05/17/2016 2:42:12 AM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: Steve_Seattle

Some Summers are cooler and some Winters are warmer - the globe is a fairly closed homeostatic entity and more heat somewhere is offset by less heat elsewhere....


65 posted on 05/17/2016 3:21:00 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: Steve_Seattle

For the last two or three years.. it has been cold later in the spring. Snowed in several eastern areas this weekend. I have worn sweatshirts in cool July evenings for at least three years. There was record late ice in one of the great Lakes last year.iirc. I noticed years,ago, a lot of the local Temps were recorded far higher than my outdoor thermometers read. In 2000, I wore shorts in September, sweatshirts these days.


66 posted on 05/17/2016 4:07:47 AM PDT by momincombatboots (its Carter... Nixon 2016. Ford in name only.)
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To: Steve_Seattle
The sharp increase in the yellow line for 2016 in the Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice graph is almost certainly a data glitch.
67 posted on 05/17/2016 4:13:00 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (Big government is attractive to those who think that THEY will be in control of it.)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
"As an intelligent individual capable of thinking for yourself, you have to ignore the graphs and plots until their information is correct."

Okay, I can do that.

68 posted on 05/17/2016 4:50:57 AM PDT by NicknamedBob (If you can't do something well, you won't do anything good.)
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To: Steve_Seattle
I would say that is mis-plotted data. I've been forecasting weather for 29 years...and that is very strange.

One of the first thing I learned as a young weather student was when to throw out data. If the data doesn't make sense...and can't be explained...chances are it is bad data...and I would say that is what is going on here. Look for it to be corrected in time. You don't get spikes like that (of that size)...especially if other data (current temps over the poles) doesn't support it.

69 posted on 05/17/2016 5:04:47 AM PDT by NELSON111
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To: Steve_Seattle
The data is for the anomaly, the difference between current ice, and average ice. It can go either way, and is not dependent on average temperature. During times of the year where the ice transitions from one extreme to the other, large swings are easily possible.
70 posted on 05/17/2016 5:20:28 AM PDT by norwaypinesavage (The Stone Age did not end because we ran out of stones)
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To: qam1

Thank you, FINALLY, at post 31, you told us what the “note in red” said. SHEESH!


71 posted on 05/17/2016 5:25:44 AM PDT by faucetman (Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: Steve_Seattle

Everyone has missed the boat: the Earth has broken out of orbit and we’re headed directly into the sun. Get out the SPF 30.


72 posted on 05/17/2016 7:38:50 AM PDT by Zman (Liberals: denying reality since Day One.)
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To: justa-hairyape

True.

But. Look at the currents. Cold water from the poles flows south along the Alaska-Canadian-US coast south towards the tropics, turns west due to the Coriollis effect, then crosses the tropics and heats, turns north and becomes the Japanese current to hit Alaska and repeat the cycle. Flow is slow - < 1-2 knots. Steady. But slow.

In the south, same thing happens : flows north off of Chile, Peru. Turns west and then heads west then south past OZ and NZ, curves back beside Antarctica, then north again.
El Nino - and we are in last part of a strong one - is characterized by warmer waters in the east Pacific off of Peru near Christmas. That warmer water needs to cross the Pacific, flow past Australia, flow past and under the Antarctic sea ice to melt MORE of it than normal, then flow back north to be re-warmed.

Hasn’t been enough time yet for that cycle since its max in December-January. Only the early waters would have reached the Antarctic, if even that. Further, the low point of the September- March low Antarctic sea ice has long passed, and the sea ice was expanding until this sensor-program failure.

I can be convinced of your idea. But show me the math and the measurements of warmer surface water around Antarctica.


73 posted on 05/17/2016 7:55:44 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Steve_Seattle

Earths magnetic poles have flipped.


74 posted on 05/17/2016 8:04:14 AM PDT by READINABLUESTATE ("If guns cause crime, there must be something wrong with mine." -Ted Nugent)
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To: Steve_Seattle

Could be the North has less cow farts than the south?


75 posted on 05/17/2016 9:43:19 AM PDT by SaraJohnson
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To: SaraJohnson

Other way around. Much, much less animals (and cow f*rt generating grassland!) in the southern hemisphere.

Heck, at Antarctic sea ice maximum, the land ice + sea ice around Antarctica is larger than ALL of the other land areas south of the Equator. Put together.


76 posted on 05/17/2016 1:36:28 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Steve_Seattle

http://www.nextgov.com/cybersecurity/2016/05/audit-finds-hostile-probes-breaches-commerce-satellite-system/128393/

The nation’s weather satellite program over the course of a year suffered 10 data security incidents, including unauthorized access and probes by adversaries, according to a congressional auditor.

The $11.3 billion Joint Polar Satellite System is set to launch the program’s first next-gen spacecraft, the JPSS-1, in March 2017.

But the ground stations that handle satellite communications and data processing “remain at high risk of compromise,” David Powner, the Government Accountability Office’s director of IT management issues, said in a new report.

The satellite program, which is run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, feeds prediction models and aids weather forecasters on the ground.

“NOAA has experienced several recent information security incidents regarding unauthorized access to Web servers and computers,” Powner said in the audit, released Tuesday. The six episodes now considered closed matters “involved hostile probes, improper usage, unauthorized access, password sharing, and other IT-related security concerns.”


77 posted on 05/18/2016 10:17:32 AM PDT by GOPJ (Moms stripping daughters naked for strange men would be arrested EXCEPT in Target dressing rooms.)
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To: qam1

Belated reply: I’m almost certain that the explanatory message wasn’t there the previous day, when I first saw the weird data, because I looked for such a message and didn’t see one. I didn’t look the second day because the site was still showing the (updated) weird data, and it didn’t occur to me that they’d continue to post bad data once a problem had been noticed. Still, it seemed likely that the data was messed up.


78 posted on 05/18/2016 5:03:26 PM PDT by Steve_Seattle ("Above all, shake your bum at Burton.")
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To: chris37

Sea water is salty, however, sea ice is much less so. Slow freezing is a typical desalinization method.


79 posted on 05/20/2016 9:30:49 AM PDT by reg45 (Barack 0bama: Implementing class warfare by having no class.)
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