There are fewer delegates remaining than we originally projected because the delegates in Wyoming, Colorado and North Dakota were allocated in corrupt voter-less elections. But our April 2nd projections for Trump and Cruz were very, very close.
If Cruz loses Indiana its over and Cruz will lose his Senate seat if he plays sore loser and doesn’t GTFO of the race.
That does not include Pennsylvania’s unattached delegates which by all reports Trump will get at least 40!
I sure wish there would be some new polling out of Indiana soon.
Now that CNN is showing Trump with 52 total delegates likely in PA (and it is likely that that number wil go higher, probably over 60 before all is said and done and once they vote at the convention):
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/pa/Rep
Current delegate count according to them, and I have found them to be fairly accurate is:
Trump: 991
Cruz: 568
Kasich: 154
http://edition.cnn.com/election/
I expect Trump will go well over the top (probably by 50 or more delegates at this point), on June 7th.
If Cruz is interested in the GOP nominee (without any e) winning in November, then he needs to concede next week after Trump (in all likelihood) takes Indiana.
I pray to God that is what he will do. He has the power to:
1) Unite the party by so doing.
2) Deliver a huge blow to the GOPe by so doing.
3) Set up for a big GOP November win.
My Open Letter to Ted Cruz
http://www.jeffhead.com/Cruz-ltr.htm
I say all of this as one who has diligently supported Cruz...but recognizes the truth of the situation and the absolute need to defeeat the Dems in November.
With this trend he may go into the negative territory before long.