Trump has two reasonable paths to the nomination. One, he gets a majority of bound delegates before the convention. With his big momentum coming out of New York this is now more likely than it was a week ago.
The other path is to persuade unbound delegates to back him on the first ballot. Some party insiders believe that if Trump gets 1100 delegates he won't have much trouble getting to 1237.
Cruz's only path is to win a contested convention. To believe that's possible you must assume that Cruz's cult is more skilled at insider manipulation and gaming the system than the GOPe network is.
Of course there's the hope that the GOPe has thrown in with Cruz. But why would the GOPe back Cruz over Trump, or over a GOPe candidate? He's not popular, he doesn't poll well against Hillary, and he's losing badly to Trump.
If there's a contested convention the most likely nominees are Trump or some GOPe stooge. Even loser Kasich has a better shot than Cruz.
Or as I like to think of it, throwing a "Hail Mary" from the LOCKER ROOM!
“If there’s a contested convention the most likely nominees are Trump or some GOPe stooge. Even loser Kasich has a better shot than Cruz. “
Like Ann Coulter mentioned, the GOP could nominate Kim Kardashian on the second ballot, given the rules in place now. It’s just insane.