The polls have Cruz within the margin of error against Hillary, and Trump down 10... and Trump doesn't do as well as the polls, and Cruz does better than the polls indicate. Those who want an anti-GOPe proven Conservative candidate who has a real chance to win should be getting behind Cruz, not Trump. Trump won the Old South when there were 8 candidates, but the majority of his biggest wins were/will be in the most Liberal states. He got 49.3% in MASS, and will (probably) FINALLY top 50% for the first time, with the Primary season more than 3/4 over.... and only in his very liberal home state. He will NOT win those states against Hillary.
All very good arguments but probably won’t sway a lot of Trump supporters.
PREACH IT, Teacher!
Brilliant analysis. Cruz outperforms the polls probably because he has a precision turnout effort focused on his core base of traditional Christian conservatives and maybe young conservatives as well. He’s doing the same turnout trick with that group that Obama did with blacks, hispanics, etc. And that effort will prove just as fruitful in the general election as it has in the primary.
You would think the pollsters would have realized this by now and start spotting Cruz at least 5 points no matter how their results come out.