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How Trump can lock up GOP nomination before the convention
AP ^ | April 16, 2016 | STEPHEN OHLEMACHER

Posted on 04/16/2016 10:29:23 AM PDT by McGruff

To all the political junkies yearning for a contested Republican convention this summer: not so fast.

It's still possible for Donald Trump to clinch the nomination by the end of the primaries on June 7. His path is narrow and perilous. But it's plausible and starts with a big victory Tuesday in his home state New York primary.

Trump is the only candidate with a realistic chance of reaching the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the nomination before the July convention in Cleveland. His rivals, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, can only hope to stop him.

If Cruz and Kasich are successful, politicos across the country will have the summer of their dreams — a convention with an uncertain outcome. But Trump can put an end to those dreams, and he can do it without any of the 150 or so delegates who will go to the convention free to support the candidate of their choice.

What comes next isn't a prediction, but rather, a way in which Trump could win the nomination outright on June 7.

To be sure, Trump will have to start doing a lot better than he has so far. He gets that chance starting Tuesday, beginning the day with 744 delegates.

(Excerpt) Read more at bigstory.ap.org ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections
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To: nclaurel

Trump is the ultimate RINO.


21 posted on 04/16/2016 11:25:39 AM PDT by lonestar67 (Trump is anti-conservative / Cruz 2016)
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To: lonestar67

The most likely scenario is that either Trump gets to 1,237 before the convention or Cruz gets to 1,237 during the convention. That’s the game....but I’ll say it’s a CRuz win over Trump because Trups looking for a way out.

Trump is a liberal Democrat.....not even a rhino...though he could be said as this in his run...but in reality he’s still a Demorat Liberal.


22 posted on 04/16/2016 11:28:06 AM PDT by caww
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To: lonestar67

Right I believe that lie too-—NOT! RINO voted for Coker and TPA which hurt America. Trump did neither.


23 posted on 04/16/2016 11:30:39 AM PDT by nclaurel
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To: South Dakota

BB-61 I believe.


24 posted on 04/16/2016 11:58:10 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: McGruff

April 19 - Tuesday - is:
NY (95) majority take all. Trump has to get over 50%, and it’s a question of his get out the vote efforts.

April 26 - a week later - is:
DE (16) winner take all
MD (38) winner take most
PA (71) winner take most
CT (28)
RI (19)
Again, it’s a question of get out the vote, but it’s also a question of knowing the rules. Trump has to allocate resources based on the delegate formula for that state. A good showing in NY will boost him for April 26, but he also needs to make an effort in each district of the “winner take most” states.

After April 26, we will know whether a first round nomination is likely or almost out of the question. How hard will Trump work between now and then? How hard will Cruz work? How comfortable are the voters with a Trump convention? With a contested convention?


25 posted on 04/16/2016 12:02:40 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: dragnet2

Iowa


26 posted on 04/16/2016 12:08:34 PM PDT by South Dakota (crazy horse: I shall return again...in stone)
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To: dragnet2

I remember that speech (and I also remember when the military leading the Pledge of Allegiance, they purposely went silent when it came time to utter “under God”. But you could hear the rest of the crowd say it loud and clear).

All that now seems like it happened years ago.


27 posted on 04/16/2016 12:09:38 PM PDT by MichaelCorleone (Jesus Christ is not a religion. He's the Truth.)
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To: MichaelCorleone

Yep...


28 posted on 04/16/2016 12:15:56 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: McGruff

Also they could eliminate Colorado from the delegates needed.

Cruz already took care of that.


29 posted on 04/16/2016 12:16:31 PM PDT by heshtesh ((New Yorker for Cruz))
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To: heshtesh

You bet, Cruz owns it.


30 posted on 04/16/2016 12:17:24 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: dragnet2

You bet, Cruz owns it.

Honesty and integrity always prevail, whining and sniveling nets you zero delegates.


31 posted on 04/16/2016 12:20:40 PM PDT by heshtesh ((New Yorker for Cruz))
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To: heshtesh

We will see Tuesday.


32 posted on 04/16/2016 12:28:05 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: napscoordinator

I give Trump credit, he’s been working his butt off to make sure he does well in NY.


33 posted on 04/16/2016 12:38:50 PM PDT by heshtesh ((New Yorker for Cruz))
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To: heshtesh
Honesty and integrity?

By the time this election is over the corrupt in D.C. will make the Nigerians look good.

34 posted on 04/16/2016 1:04:20 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: nclaurel

Trump helped give us obama, nancy, schumer,Reid, pelosi, and mitch by supporting and donating to their campaigns. Trump that.


35 posted on 04/16/2016 1:19:36 PM PDT by swampfox101
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To: heshtesh

And finally having a good news week. It is nice to see.


36 posted on 04/16/2016 1:20:21 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: swampfox101

The inept GOP gave us Obama. A couple of thousand dollars didn’t elect anyone. Trump that yourself. Cruz helped give us the Iran deal with Coker and he did us no favor with TPA. But that is ok since he is anointed right.


37 posted on 04/16/2016 1:57:27 PM PDT by nclaurel
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