There are 27 districts. You don’t think that any of them could end up Kasich 10, Trump 40, Cruz 50 ? Because that would be 0 - 1 - 2. I am not saying there will be a lot like that but in upstate there will be a few. There will also be many that are split 1 - 1 - 1 and several where Trump gets over 50%. I don’t think 59 - 21- 15 is off base. I guess we will see.
“Kasich 10, Trump 40, Cruz 50 “?
I know polls can be wrong, but the 4 most recent have Trump constantly over 50 and growing; and the surrounding state polls validate that. I come from MA and his 49% win there came early on in the season and to me shows he has grown his support in the NorthEast. So no, personally, I don’t think Ted can break through in New York.
Most of it is not his fault; his message doesn’t fit the electorate in NY. But the NY Values dig will hurt him in NY and NJ and if he ever does become the nominee, in Florida. I’m surprised he doubled down on it. He is driving away voters he would need in FL.
Like you said, I guess we will see. :)