“cruzs chances are exponentially better”
http://www.270towin.com/maps/bJQV
I don’t see that at all...235 to 166; when he loses Florida it’s 264 to 166, after that all she needs is Virginia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin or Minnesota.
I’d say Cruz is toast; just because Trump gets all the focus with these types of predictions doesn’t mean Cruz would fair any better
Cruz would concede around 1130pn
In Clinton vs Trump
Clinton starts with 190 Trump starts with 37
In Clinton vs Cruz
Clinton starts with 177 Trump starts with 114
This means that Cruz is securing thee times as many electoral votes as Trump at the outset. Moreover, Clinton starts further away from 270 by 13 electoral votes with Cruz compared to Trump.
This is a long way away but there is no honest reason to believe that Trump has a better chance of beating Clinton.