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To: kabar
Once interest rates return to historical levels, our debt servicing costs will go thru the roof.

Which is precisely why they won't. See my raw sewage post above.


26 posted on 04/08/2016 8:09:57 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Buckeye McFrog
It may not be the Fed's choice. The Fed is riding a tiger they can't figure out how to get off. Eventually the market will prevail. The Fed cannot hold down interest rates forever. Low interest rates bring their own set of problems.

f the Fed wants to see full employment of capital and labor resources (which, of course, it does), then its task amounts to using its influence over market interest rates to push those rates toward levels consistent with the equilibrium rate, or—more realistically—its best estimate of the equilibrium rate, which is not directly observable.

If the Fed were to try to keep market rates persistently too high, relative to the equilibrium rate, the economy would slow (perhaps falling into recession), because capital investments (and other long-lived purchases, like consumer durables) are unattractive when the cost of borrowing set by the Fed exceeds the potential return on those investments. Similarly, if the Fed were to push market rates too low, below the levels consistent with the equilibrium rate, the economy would eventually overheat, leading to inflation—also an unsustainable and undesirable situation. The bottom line is that the state of the economy, not the Fed, ultimately determines the real rate of return attainable by savers and investors. The Fed influences market rates but not in an unconstrained way; if it seeks a healthy economy, then it must try to push market rates toward levels consistent with the underlying equilibrium rate.

30 posted on 04/08/2016 8:56:30 AM PDT by kabar
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