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To: fooman

30 is very difficult for the second-place finisher. Assuming Trump beats 50% statewide, and he will. There are only 27 CDs.

The likely outcome is somewhere between 80-90 delegates for Trump, 5-15 for the others. 15 would be on the high side, probably. It depends on how uniform the margin is throughout the state.


150 posted on 04/09/2016 12:08:10 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: NYRepublican72

Agree uniformity is the issue. Wonder about hot spots upstate.

Even though I am voting Cruz, what I really want is for the delegates to put trump on top and Cruz as VP.

I think this is our best hope. As much as I like Cruz, party unity Trumps Cruz being on top of the ticket this time.


151 posted on 04/09/2016 12:13:28 PM PDT by fooman (Get real with Kin Jung mentally Ill about proliferation)
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