Trump is plenty strong enough to win states in the Electoral College. That likely puts the presidential decision in the House of Representatives, where the Republican candidate would almost certainly be an easy winner.
So in that scenario, you don’t see Sanders getting 51% of the electoral votes?
Exactly which states that went for Obama are going to go for Trump (I) and a Republican (R)?
In my scenario, I think Trump will mostly pull enough votes so that Republicans lose Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and Colorado.
In fact, who knows, North Carolina and Indiana might flip back to Dem in 2016 also.