You’re scaring me.
I think Hillary is vulnerable. Not just because of her e-mail scandal but because of how well Sanders is doing. That tells us that she may win but she’s not that popular.
But Trump can’t beat her. He needs broad support including women and conservatives and Republicans and he cannot get that support. Plus his high unfavorability is a big negative.
It is highly unlikely that an outsider would win a contested convention if I understand how that works.
How about we just nominate Cruz and win.
Scaring you? Let me paint a picture.
Here’s what is likely to happen. Cruz simply is not going to have enough to get to the magic number. By my calculations, give or take California, Trump will either get it or get close.
If it is a contested convention, and Trump loses, then I see Trump running as an independent.
Since Hillary was winning the south and Bernie most of everything else, the remaining areas are mostly white and northern, which favors Bernie.
It is quite possible in November we will see: Ryan or Cruz (R), Sanders (D) and Trump (I). Then Sanders wins because of a lot of disgruntled Republicans voting for Trump and we get UBER-liberal Supreme Court justices.
Consider Scalia died and was born 1936. We have conservatives Kennedy (1936), Thomas (1948), liberals Ginsburg (1933), Breyer (1938). Picture the old liberals replaced by more extreme liberals. Then picture Scalia, Kennedy and Thomas replaced by extreme liberals.
Then you end up with a Supreme Court of perhaps 5 people appointed by Sanders, 2 liberals appointed by Obama (Sotomayor and Kagan), leaving moderate Roberts and one conservative (Alito).
Picture an entire generation of 7-2 and 8-1 liberal votes, during a period of time in which illegal immigrants overrun the US, the 19 trillion debt grows to WHO-KNOWS-WHAT, Muslims overrun Europe, and Iran (and probably Saudi Arabia and Egypt) get nuclear weapons. China overtakes us economically. Etc. Etc.
Grab your ankles and bite down on a stick.