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I'm not sure that's true. It's more accurate to say that Cruz has a better record in early caucus states and, IMO, that has more to do with demographics than anything else. I think we're in a new phase of this battle and the dynamics of the battle have changed significantly because there are only three candidates now. What happened a few months ago is not terribly relevant to what is happening now.

I have looked at the data in Ohio and I'm utterly convinced that there was heavy Dem crossover for John Kasich in areas that are known to be Democratic strongholds, Cuyahoga county and Franklin county for example. Dems elected John Kasich in Ohio and it was reported on but widely ignored by the media.

And this is interesting as well: Dems Think Crossover Voters Helped Kasich Win GOP Primary

If you look at the Wisconsin Republican primary numbers in 2012 and 2016, it's clear that there were about 305,000 more Republican votes cast and many of them came from areas known to be Democratic strongholds.

It's also clear that Donald Trump won about 37,000 more votes in Wisconsin that Mitt Romney did and, yet, Mitt Romney won the Wisconsin primary.

This adds up to Dems crossing over.