Trump WAS supposed to win WI until his disastrous last couple of weeks. Now we have this poll showing he’s going to win so who knows.
But without WI it becomes extremely difficult to Trump to hit 1237. Without 1237 I don’t see him ever being the nominee. If he comes out of a contested convention with the nomination—I will fully get on the Trump train because he clearly ain’t lying when he says he knows how to negotiate. Other than his magical negotiation powers I don’t see how he wins in a contested convention.
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Effects of MSM propaganda fully observable, as seen above.
Reality, like it or not. Absolutely doesn’t matter what Cruz does in WI.
Trump will have 1100-1300 delegates, next closest is Cruz with 700-800 / plus millions more conservative votes / GoPe is not suicidal / Trump wins on the first ballot if needed/ GoPe negotiate their choice for VP.
Cruz needs GoPe backing for VP or he’s out. Guaranteed
BECAUSE:
Just like the last 4 elections, this election comes down to FL and OH. Trumps FL and OH beat down of Cruz, ended any chance he had. That’s right Trump’s margin over Cruz just in those states, =~ 1,000,000 voters or pissed off voters if Trump gets dumped. GoPe knows this, they want to hold on to senate and house seats.
You're low on Cruz at 700-800, other than that I agree completely. This is Trump's to lose, if on the first ballot then in the "deal making". Because of the impact on Congressional races, I think a candidate other than Trump or Cruz is not in the cards, and Cruz better be within 100, at most 150 delegates to be viable. It's Trumps deal to make if he doesn'tget to 1237
Maybe you don’t understand the rules. If you don’t get 1237 delegates you don’t win. Therefore, what is Trump’s path to victory if he doesn’t have 1237 votes?
I think Cruz has a path to victory at the convention. He’s playing the delegate game and ground game very well. And delegates are NOT gopE by default. They are people like us that are involved in local politics. So there is no guarantee the GOPe gets their way.
Also GOP doesn’t win without OH. Trump couldn’t even beat Kasich in Ohio so by your logic we’re doomed.