Did you say maniac?
Posted on 03/30/2016 2:35:54 PM PDT by Kaslin
Frontrunner Donald Trump has become more unpopular since the start of primaries in February, and now the convention calendar turns to more moderate-to-liberal states as the contest draws near completion. Will Trump's decreasing popularity cost him the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the nomination outright?
In January, the Huffington Post Pollster average of recent polls found that only 37 percent of voters view The Donald favorably, while 57 percent view him unfavorably. This was bad enough, but the most recent numbers (from Tuesday, March 29) show an even less popular frontrunner. Only 31.6 percent have a positive image of the man, while 63.3 percent dislike him. The gap has risen from negative 20 points to negative 31.7 points.
While Hillary Clinton and Ted Cruz are also viewed unfavorably, their numbers are nowhere near this bad. Only John Kasich and Bernie Sanders have positive approval ratings, and fewer Democrats and Republicans turn out to vote for them.
In the prediction market PredictWise, the likelihood that one GOP candidate will win a majority of the delegates has dropped from 50 percent to 38 percent. The odds that the contention goes into at least a second ballot have increased from 42 percent to 55 percent, even while the odds of Trump's nomination remain high, dropping from 78 percent to 76 percent.
As the Republican primary nears its end, the states still to vote take a more liberal turn. In April, Wisconsin, New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island vote. All of these states favored Barack Obama in 2012. In some of these states, the more moderate Kasich leads the conservative stalwart Cruz. Yet in one, Cruz has pulled ahead of Trump.
A recent poll has pushed up Ted Cruz's average in Wisconsin, and he now leads Trump 33.0 percent to 32.3 percent in the RealClearPolitics average. This Cruz jump may be attributable, in part, to the endorsement of Governor Scott Walker. Trump leads strongly in his home state of New York, with 53.0 percent to Kasich's 14.3 percent and Cruz's 13.0 percent. Kasich also beats Cruz in Pennsylvania, where Trump leads with 34.5 percent to Kasich's 20.0 percent and Cruz's 18.5 percent.
Could Kasich's presence keep Cruz from taking delegates away from Trump? Will Trump's decreasing popularity cost him in the next three months? All three of the candidates have recently backed away from their pledge to support whichever candidate wins the nomination. The fracturing of the Republican Party continues apace, as Trump's popularity falls, even as he still leads in the polls for many upcoming states.
Cruz thinks he will win the race, even while he badly trails Trump in the delegate count, with 463 delegates to Trump's 736. Both Cruz and Kasich are also courting delegates to the July Republican National Convention in Cleveland, even as Trump has hired his own convention muscle, with close ties to Putin's Ukrainian puppet, Viktor Yanukovych. If Trump falls short of 1,237 delegates, we'll be in for one big show.
He hasn’t even started on her, he is the ONLY guy with the gonads to expose her for exactly for what she is. Cruz ain’t going to do it, Kasich ain’t going to do it and Paul Ryan sure as hell ain’t going to do it or whatever other RINO they choose to nominate,. She will absolutely crush those guys because they are all wussbags. To defeat Hillary you need a fearless vicious pitbull who is able to not only go against her, but the treason party, the MSM and the GOP treasonists and I’m not seeing it in Cruz or Kasich. If Trump drops out, she will be next POTUS. I would bet my house on that.
Again, how do you reconcile that with consistent polling data showing Trump losing to the Democrat candidate?
I TOLD you, because he hasn’t even started on her yet! He hasn’t debated her, her hasn’t attacked her, he hasn’t exposed her. She has been entirely coddled and protected since she first announced she was running, the people they polled have absolutely no idea about her. That will entirely change once Trump gets over this nominee hump, if he gets over it. If he can’t she will win the Presidency.
All they are doing day after day after day after day is attacking Trump attacking Trump attacking Trump, setting him up, and he’s getting from all sides: The MSM, the treason party, the GOP treasonists while she is left completely alone and propped up as this hero of black people, women and the working class. So of COURSE she is going to poll higher. Once Trump is let off the leash, she is FINISHED. He will absolutely obliterate her!
To be true you have to admit his endorsements and those supporting him are lean at best. He’s going to have to do better than that and he knows it... even if his supporters won’t admit it. He cannot win this without them.
Thank you for this.
# 31 and 32
THANK YOU FOR THE ENCOURAGEMENT!!!!!!!!
Sorry! Better QUALITY than QUANTITY! Especially when quantity is all the wrong persons.
Don’t the ratings show that the Kasich hour brought in more viewers than the Cruz hour?
Don’t the ratings show that the Kasich hour brought in more viewers than the Cruz hour?
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yes
Did you say maniac?
That was as mentally unstable as anything out of Glenn Beck’s demented head.
Glenn, is that you?
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