FYI...my thoughts.
Very well reasoned and presented!
I suspect Cruz will abide by any decision that the Bushes and Romney make for him.
Senator Cruz, DO NOT Allows the GOPe to co-opt you and your campaign.
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Too late.
¡Teb! has fully embraced the Cartel he once railed against
He is on board the Cheap Labor Express in their attempt to block the citizens from keeping their country.
Ah snap!
So, Ted right now is at 461 delgates. He needs another 775 to get to the 1,237 number.
But there are only 763 delegates left to win.
So now the Cruz supporters have to decide it they are going to play nice or try to force a brokered convention on everyone else.
This will be very interesting.
This is why The Establishment will completely endorse Ted Cruz.
Jeb Bush only endorsed Ted after it was too late.
Looking at UT primary results from ‘08 and ‘12 put last night’s into perspective for me…
2012: Romney 93% | Paul 4.7%
2008: Romney 89.5% | McCain 5.4%
Nothing all that anomalous since apparently Utahns vote in creepy lockstep. If anything, Cruz underperformed by only netting 69%.
Too late...Lyin' JEB/Ted has been a Bush Establishmentarian from the beginning.
He's now being used to block Trump so Establishment can "nominate" Lyin' Paul Ryan.
It's so transparent even Ray Charles could see it...and he's blind AND dead.
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I’ve heard Cruz a few times say “Kasich should get out since he can’t reach 1237.” Wonder if Cruz will change his mind when HE can’t reach 1237. I’ll bet he decides that having a path to 1237 isn’t so important at that point.
Well, it seems clear that Trump will have a strong plurality at the end of the primary process. Will he be derailed?
If Trump doesn’t win on the 1st ballot, then all hell breaks loose, figuratively speaking. Who would be the compromise candidate who wins on a 2nd or 3rd ballot?? Jeb Bush??? Mitt Romney even?? After all a convention doesn’t have to limit itself to candidates who ran during the primaries.
Who won American Samoa?
It would be nice, however, if the text in your argument did not run off the right screen, meaning that a scroll bar was needed to view all of it. You may want to re-paginate a bit.
Where are you getting 763 remaining delegates?
There’s at least 800-900 available.
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/R
Here’s what I’ve got from various sites:
Minimum % Trump Delegates Needed
1237 Total delegates needed
754 Trump delegates to date
483 Bal Trump delegates needed
839 State delegates remaining
58% % bal Trump delegates needed
But there’s this baffling 272 delegates that seem to be unaccounted for (either uncommitted or something else).
Unaccounted-for Delegates
2472 Total Delegates
2200 Allocated+Remaining Delegates
272 Unaccounted-for Delegates
Anyway, putting the unaccounted-for delegates aside, I’m showing Trump needs to get 58% of remaining state primaries/caucuses to get to 1237.
Jeff, thanks for the real math reality not the New Core Math, which might be somewhere close to correct or not!
Cruz and Kasich are both mathematically eliminated from being able to win the nomination outright.
Ted can still win it at the ballot box. However, I just read an article that gives Ted Cruz the advantage in a contested convention.
This certainly puts some bounce into the steps today. Thank you for the article.
And it seems there was fraud in Utah, just as there was/is fraud in the vote across the country. Will any be called on it? Less likely chance than Hillary being charged for the crimes she committed.