What to Expect in Utah and Arizona on Tuesday

PJ Media ^ | TYLER O'NEIL

[GeaugaRepublican]

My family and I are caucusing for Trump in Utah.

We have not yet met an actual Cruz voter.

I am sure they are all near the “Mother Ship” in Provo.

I have actually seen more support for Kasich, who did 3 events here in Utah.

Go figure.

They like Kasich because he’s polite.

[GLDNGUN]

Another pundit that doesn’t know what he is talking about. Yes, in the closed caucus states, Cruz has done best. Arizona is a closed primary. After tossing out home states of Texas and Ohio, Trump has done even BETTER in CLOSED primaries than open primaries. Trump wins Arizona easily.

[montag813]

The Mormon church is 100% pro-amnesty, and even has illegal aliens as leaders. So a Ted Cruz, endorsed by Mittens and snake-oil-sold by Glenn Beck -- with whom Ted handed out teddy bears and soccer balls to illegal aliens on the border -- seems tailor made for Mormon fruitcakes.

[fidelis]

I live in Arizona and, as long as I still have a choice, I'm voting for Cruz because I think he is more qualified to do the job of President than Trump or Kasich. That has always been my criteria and still is: vote for whoever is most qualified. I don't believe in voting to "send a message."

At the same time, I think Trump will easily take Arizona. If he is the nominee in the general, I will vote for him against Hillary. To not vote is not an option. Hillary must be defeated.

[GodGunsGuts]

You go, Fidelis...but I respectfully disagree re: Arizona...I think there is a good chance that Cruz could take it now that the field has narrowed.

[SandRat]

I've no commercial real estate (doing all the home maintenance that MrsSr thinks up is enough for me.)

[fidelis]

GodGunsGuts: I do think Cruz still has a chance here, but Trump certainly seems like a juggernaut at this point, especially in areas that have traditionally been conservative. I think a lot more of them will turn out to vote than have in recent elections. Lots of pissed off people here. Doesn’t help that we got stuck with McCain as our candidate again.

[MrEdd]

But...but...he’s the fulfillment of Mormon prophecy.

[Georgia Girl 2]

Word on the ground? Where is that coming from a drunken Indian? :-)

[lquist1]

“I do think Cruz still has a chance here, but Trump certainly seems like a juggernaut at this point, especially in areas that have traditionally been conservative. I think a lot more of them will turn out to vote than have in recent elections. Lots of pissed off people here. Doesn’t help that we got stuck with McCain as our candidate again.”

Yesterday I felt like Cruz might be closing the gap in AZ, but then I saw the poll out today Trump 46-33. Supposedly Cruz’s internals have him within two, but over half have already early voted, so I think if you look at everything collectively, I’d say 80% chance Trump wins.

Of course, UT is another story, and very good chance Cruz breaks 50% there to take all 40 delegates. I don’t know what else to say about UT — apparently, Mormons recognize a cult when they see one :)

[Suz in AZ]

Doesn’t help that McCain is backing Cruz, either.