[Cowboy Bob]

“If he drives big turnout increases with white voters, especially with white male voters, that has the potential to change the map,” said a veteran of Obama’s campaigns, who spoke anonymously in order to share current analysis of the fall campaign.

I've been saying for a long time - if the Republicans can just get an additional 5% of the White vote, the Black vote becomes unnecessary.

In this election, the blacks are going to sit at home, and the White working class is NOT going to vote for Hillary.

[LNV]

Correct. Hillary is a bad candidate. This election cycle the Dems have done what the Reps so often do—run the one whose turn it is. The formidable Clinton electoral machine was always an MSM-fueled myth. Bill won a plurality in 1992 because of Perot, and won in 1996 because of the power of incumbency and because the Reps ran Dole, the guy whose turn it was. Hillary is unlikeable. She’ll get a lot of women to vote for her, but she doesn’t excite any of the other demographics the Dems need to win. The young skulls full of mush who are feeling the Bern will not turn out for her. Neither will men. Hillary can’t win without the Rust Belt, where Trump has already shown he has wide appeal.Also, Bernie has made Hillary run very far to the left in the primary. She’s been trying to out-Commie the Commie for months now. She will have a difficult time tacking to the center to get the mushy middle, where all elections are won.

[erlayman]

I’m not sure he will get 5%, but even a few percentages higher than Romney across all minorities and 1-2 increase with whites and the Dems sit home is going to be a massive victory.