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Can China's 'Dreadnought' Tip the Naval Balance?
The National Interest ^ | March 19, 2016 | Lyle J. Goldstein

Posted on 03/18/2016 8:54:29 PM PDT by sukhoi-30mki

As the U.S.-China naval rivalry unfolds across the Asia-Pacific, Washington sails with significant confidence through these turbulent waters. After all, the U.S. Navy still far exceeds the Chinese Navy in gross tonnage, retains the advantage in key domains such as submarine quieting, has a huge network of bases, and possesses loyal, highly motivated and strong allies to boot. Still, as this Dragon Eye column has pointed out in several instances, Beijing also has some reasons for confidence in this nascent rivalry. With respect to the territorial disputes on China’s maritime flank, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has an enviable level of strategic focus, but far and away its most important advantage is its favorable geography. That is to say that Chinese military planners enjoy the potent benefit of interior lines in almost any conceivable military scenario versus the United States. “Interior lines” is just a fancy way of saying that China can bring much more firepower to the fight much faster than the United States, at least in the initial phases of any military contest.

For these basic reasons, Western defense analysts should avoid being dismissive of emergent Chinese naval capabilities, even if the Chinese navy remains smaller and less experienced. It seems likely, moreover, that Beijing has indeed stepped up the pace of its naval building program, perhaps in part as a strategy to keep its shipyards humming at a time of contracting commercial orders. Indeed, Chinese shipyards do tend to build commercial and military vessels side by side in the same yard—a rather different model than the one employed by Western shipbuilders.

Just over a decade ago, Western naval analysts (including this one) marveled over the PLAN’s new “Red Aegis” Type 052C destroyer, the first Chinese warship to wield both phased array radars and vertical launch systems (VLS). Today, an improved variant of that ship, Type 052D, is in serial production, predicted to run to between eight and twelve hulls. This Dragon Eye will not focus on that impressive vessel, but rather will peer into the future and look at the ominous “dreadnought” on the horizon, China’s Type 055 cruiser, which is currently in development. Some further hints about the mysterious behemoth, suggested as 11,500 tons fully loaded, were revealed in the Chinese magazine Shipborne Weaponry (舰载武器), published by a Zhengzhou institute of the China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (CSIC). According to this description, which includes several rather detailed line drawings, the ship is projected to be 175 meters in length and twenty-one meters wide, with a draft of 6.5 meters and a top speed of thirty-two knots. The ship will wield four types of “new-type” (新型) missiles (discussed below), but that arsenal does not even account for the “long-range land attack cruise missile” (远程对地巡航导弹) and “sea-based missile interceptor” (海基反导导弹). In addition to electric drive propulsion, this analysis boasts that the the all-important phased array radars have been upgraded to include both X-band and S-band arrays—and thus may be on part with America’s top air-defense ships. This analysis holds that 055’s larger displacement will enable “larger weapons magazines and enhanced combat potential, so that its distant seas comprehensive fighting power will be much stronger” than its predecessors. The article states directly both that Type 052C and D destroyers were constrained in their size by propulsion issues, and that engines for large surface vessels have formed a major technical bottleneck for the Chinese Navy. An interim step in the development process was the “indigenization” (国产化) of the Ukrainian GT25000 that resulted in the apparently “stable, reliable … [and] fuel-efficient” Chinese QC-280 gas turbine engine. Speed, acoustic and efficiency gains from electric propulsion are noted and the analysis goes on to claim that a major research “breakthrough” on this technology was accomplished by Wuhan shipbuilding research institute 712, so that by 2012, electric drive was already being incorporated into various Chinese prototype vessels, including non-naval platforms.

However, it is not really a possible propulsion innovation that makes this ship especially interesting. Obviously, the sensors (radars) deliver the ship’s core competence. Like the Aegis-equipped destroyers that formed the model for its predecessors, Type 055’s main mission is still certain to be fleet air defense, including for Beijing’s nascent carrier battle groups. The phased array radars on the Type 052D are said to be 15 percent larger and less rounded than 052C, delivering detection ranges not less than four hundred kilometers. Dual band radar technology, the article explains, was pioneered in the United States during the 1990s and originally planned for installation aboard the Ford-class aircraft carrier, as well as the recently unveiled DDG-1000. However, DDG-1000 did not get the system because of cost constraints, according to the Chinese analysis. Visible in the given diagrams of Type 055 are both the S-band radar (under the bridge and facing forward) and also the X-band arrays that are somewhat smaller and located in the middle of the large mast, but this may not constitute a genuine “dual-band” capability as the radars are not combined. Notably, the same drawings show a very prominent “fixed long-range warning radar” (固态远程警戒雷达) mounted above the helicopter hangar near the stern. The article claims that any further deficiencies with respect to radar are related to cost savings, and that China “will not confront a gap in radar capabilities or function.” As to weaponry, the Type 055’s large cruiser dimensions are said to allow for ninety-six VLS launchers, up from sixty-four on the 052D destroyer now in production. Its large size allows not only for more weapons, but also for larger-dimension missiles, as this analysis states explicitly that a drawback of the current 052D VLS is that it cannot accommodate missiles longer than seven meters. In addition to the “long-range land attack cruise missile” and “missile interceptor” mentioned at the outset of this article, the other weapons that will likely be loaded into these VLS tubes, include a “new-type medium-range air defense missile” (新型中程舰空导弹), a “new-type medium-range antisubmarine missile” (新型中程反潜导弹), a “new-type long-range air defense missile” (新型远程舰空导弹) and “a new-type supersonic long-range antiship missile” (新型超音速远程反舰导弹). Interestingly, among the mission areas mentioned for Type 055 beyond air defense is not only missile defense, but also “antisatellite” (反卫星) operations. For close-in air defense, the ship is said to be upgraded with a new close-in weapons system (CIWS) that fires 9,600 rounds per minute—twice the rate of the former Chinese CIWS. Another interesting feature of the large design, of course, is the relatively expansive helicopter hangar. However, the helicopters illustrated in the design drawings feature the Ka-28 (an import from Russia) as well as the new Z-20 (a Chinese copy of the SH-60 now in development that I have written about in another Dragon Eye column), but not the larger Z-18AF that some had expected to see. However, one weapon that the Chinese analysis cautions will all but certainly not appear on Type 055 is an “electromagnetic gun” (电磁炮).

For readers following the progress of the U.S. Navy’s new cruiser DDG-1000, this last point may be read as an intentional dig by the Chinese side. Indeed, the DDG-1000 is notable for its new gun systems and has been described as optimized for supporting Marines fighting ashore with rapid, long-range gunfire. Pitting the projected Type 055 design against DDG-1000 may well be like comparing apples and oranges, to be sure, but as my colleague James Holmes has recently written in this forum: “The DDG-1000 will find itself sorely outranged by the missile-armed submarines, warplanes and surface combatants that comprise the core of naval fighting forces around the Eurasian perimeter. Chinese or Russian forces can blast away from beyond the reach of American guns or missiles.” Indeed, DDG-1000, together with the Littoral Combat Ship (LCS), currently lacks for suitable antiship cruise missile (ASCM) armament. Perhaps this explains why the USN is only building three of the DDG-1000. Chinese naval planners do not consider ASCMs as an afterthought in surface fleet development.

To be sure, many Western strategists will rightly note that Type 055 could be quite vulnerable to American and allied submarines. But if Beijing is investing in such large surface combatants, it suggests Chinese strategists are reasonably confident the Chinese Navy can protect them and, moreover, that these new “dreadnoughts” with Chinese characteristics could play a key role in the evolving naval balance in the Asia-Pacific.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; cruise; navy; plan
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Two concepts for the Type-055

1 posted on 03/18/2016 8:54:30 PM PDT by sukhoi-30mki
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Who sold them the Burke plans?


2 posted on 03/18/2016 8:57:27 PM PDT by BlueNgold (May I suggest a very nice 1788 Article V with your supper...)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Not if their ship bears the Made in China label.


3 posted on 03/18/2016 9:01:34 PM PDT by rey
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Are those some special radar absorbing tiles or is that just some really bad welding.


4 posted on 03/18/2016 9:03:29 PM PDT by Cold Heart
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To: sukhoi-30mki
soebarkah is completely untrustworthy.
5 posted on 03/18/2016 9:04:47 PM PDT by onedoug
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Of all the things to call it, “Dreadnought” has got to be the least apt.


6 posted on 03/18/2016 9:16:37 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: Cold Heart

Welding good. Plating thickness thin.

Just have to keep the water out.

PS This ship design looks Soviet. Compartmentalized systems.


7 posted on 03/18/2016 9:36:43 PM PDT by Scrambler Bob (As always, /s is implicitly assumed. Unless explicitly labled /not s. Saves keystrokes.)
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To: BenLurkin; sukhoi-30mki
This is a Dreadnought.

Not that thing pictured.

8 posted on 03/18/2016 9:42:55 PM PDT by BBell
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To: BlueNgold

They probably just hacked them like they do everything else.


9 posted on 03/18/2016 9:43:58 PM PDT by BBell
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To: sukhoi-30mki; Jeff Head; All
This idiot author fancies himself a naval analyst.

Perhaps somebody should ask him, publicly: How far will a anti-ship Tomahawk shoot? A thousand nautical miles before it flies down the exhaust flue?

Tell me how any CURRENT American warship is "out ranged" again?

A single Burke Class DEDG can send 3-4 missiles at 20 different ships within a 1000 mile radius...and still maintain it's anti-air role.

And that doesn't even count our subsurface capabilities, nor naval air.

How is it that these people get paid to write this drivel?

10 posted on 03/18/2016 9:47:40 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: BBell; BlueNgold
And improved them. Better stealth, Air scan radar a deck higher, and here's the big one phased array fire control.

Burke is looking last century.

11 posted on 03/18/2016 9:48:09 PM PDT by Oztrich Boy ('Life is a comedy to those who think and a tragedy for those who feel' - Horace Walpole)
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To: Mariner

DDG


12 posted on 03/18/2016 9:49:53 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Doesn’t look all that stealthy. How will it do against lasers?


13 posted on 03/18/2016 10:21:19 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (The most vocal supporters of a good con man are the victims.)
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To: sukhoi-30mki
How about USS Montana class?


14 posted on 03/18/2016 10:35:45 PM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: BenLurkin
Of all the things to call it, “Dreadnought” has got to be the least apt.

How about "DLEADNOT"? ;)
15 posted on 03/18/2016 10:59:16 PM PDT by mkjessup (If we guess when Glenn Beck gets Baker Acted, what do we win for a prize?)
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To: <1/1,000,000th%
A fine, fine, class of ship that deserved to sail. A shame we didn't follow through and build them.

In that same vein, at the end of World War II, the final Iowa-class battleship (USS Kentucky / BB66) was not
only uncompleted but was used as parts to repair other Iowa-class ships, specifically USS Wisconsin / BB64.
For some reason the following picture of the Kentucky I've always found disturbing:

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

Kentucky's sister ship USS Illinois (BB65) was actually intended to be the first of the Montana class but was retained as an Iowa class vessel and was left uncompleted at the end of WWII, her hull did nothing but rust until she was broken up in 1958, a real shame:

Image and video hosting by TinyPic
16 posted on 03/18/2016 11:14:22 PM PDT by mkjessup (If we guess when Glenn Beck gets Baker Acted, what do we win for a prize?)
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To: sukhoi-30mki
I was expecting a Iowa Class or Bismark Class ship. Not something smaller than Trump uses as a launch ;-)

Ed

17 posted on 03/18/2016 11:54:46 PM PDT by husky ed (FOX NEWS ALERT "Generalissimo Francisco Franco is still dead" THIS HAS BEEN A FOX NEWS ALERT)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Made with high-quality Chinese steel.


18 posted on 03/18/2016 11:54:58 PM PDT by lurk
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To: BlueNgold

Bill and Hillary.


19 posted on 03/19/2016 12:48:29 AM PDT by Roger Kaputnik (Just because I'm paranoid doesn't prove that they aren't out to get me.)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Looks like some piece of crap that was Made in China


20 posted on 03/19/2016 1:49:08 AM PDT by Bubba Gump Shrimp (if God wanted Cruz to be president, he'd have been born in America)
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