I’d say probably, yes. A large portion of the states left are more blue and not friendly to conservatives. I doubt he has a hope in hell at this point. How unfortunate
EXCERPT Trump’s victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Sen Marco Rubio out of the race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position. If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.
After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.
But Mr. Trump still needs to win most of the remaining delegates to avoid a contested convention. If he continues his current performance and wins a series of key states — like Arizona, California and New York — he would get the needed delegates. Exit polls have indicated that most of Mr. Rubio’s support could be distributed to Mr. Trump’s competitors. If this support consolidates – with, say, 80 percent of Mr. Rubio's voters going to Mr. Cruz – this would cut into Mr. Trump’s delegate lead.
But gains by Mr. Cruz may not prevent Mr. Trump from winning the key states that ensure him enough delegates.
This interactive delegate calculator (at web site) uses each state’s delegate allocation rules, along with estimates of how favorable each district is for each candidate. To compute these estimates, we used a model based on polling, demographics and results from past primaries and caucuses.
Delegate totals as of March 15 are estimates of how all the delegates for each state will be allocated.
CREDIT: Election results from The Associated Press
Additional work by K.K. Rebecca Lai (Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...