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To: Teacher317

Cruz has no path to the nomination. Period.

All your talk about the “Trump ceiling” are meaningless because the votes are counted, and delegates appointed, by state. And there simply aren’t enough Cruz-friendly states left to put Cruz over the top.

If it goes to a contested convention, you WILL get a ticket with Bush or Romney as the nominee.


173 posted on 03/17/2016 7:27:05 AM PDT by Velvet_Jones
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To: Velvet_Jones
Cruz has no path to the nomination. Period.

I love how Trump folks make declarations, that are so often proven wrong, and yet they continue to do so, as if their opinion is all that matters, LOL.

All your talk about the “Trump ceiling” are meaningless because the votes are counted, and delegates appointed, by state. And there simply aren’t enough Cruz-friendly states left to put Cruz over the top.

You might just want to re-think that. Again, if it is a 2-man race, and Trump continues to top out at 49%, then every state becomes Cruz-friendly, because he gets the remaining 51%... as long as Kasich is gone (sadly, Kasich is promising to stay in it, in an effort to get to a brokered convention, even though he is already mathematically eliminated). With the great number of winner-take-all states remaining, Cruz DOES win if Trump continues to fail to top 50%, as he has in EVERY SINGLE STATE SO FAR. The Trump Ceiling conjecture, which started back in NOV, seems to be proven true so far.

If it goes to a contested convention, you WILL get a ticket with Bush or Romney as the nominee.

Probably. And if Trump is nominated, Hillary also likely wins. Trump polls behind her, and Trump does worse than he polls (evidence: he has lost TEN states, not just the two he was supposed to lose). Cruz polls ahead of Hillary, and Cruz exceeds his final poll numbers very often (winning 8 states instead of the one he was polling ahead in). For those who truly want the UniParty to take a loss, Cruz is the only realistic shot remaining. Trump is exciting, and has lots of good points, and has taught the GOP to stand up to the media... but looking at the numbers at the halfway point of the Primary, Race, it is Cruz that is the actual hope today, not Trump. At the Convention, we either get a GOPe pick, or they cave to pressure and nominate Trump... but either way, Hillary wins, and the UniParty is relieved, and can continue. Going by the numbers, now that we have half of the states done, Cruz is actually the one that can win the nomination, and can beat Hillary, and can give a black-eye to the UniParty.

201 posted on 03/17/2016 7:45:45 AM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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