[Forgiven_Sinner]

Latest from Real Clear Politics (which isn't always right) http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Battle for the White House
RCP Poll Averages
                National	Delegates	Florida
Trump	        36.0	Trump	469      Trump	43.0	
Cruz	        21.8	Cruz	370      Rubio	24.7	
Rubio	        18.0	Rubio	163      Cruz	18.4	

                Ohio	North Carolina	Illinois
Kasich	        38.8	Trump	41.3	Trump	36.0	
Trump	        35.4	Cruz	29.0	Cruz	29.5	
Cruz	        17.8	Kasich	11.3	Kasich	18.5	

                National	Delegates	Florida
Clinton	        51.0	Clinton	1235 Clinton	60.7	
Sanders	        39.6	Sanders	580  Sanders	31.8	
 
                 Ohio	North Carolina	Illinois
Clinton	         51.0	Clinton	57.0	Clinton	48.3	
Sanders	         43.0	Sanders	33.0	Sanders	46.0	

General Election Match-Ups

Kasich   47.7    Clinton  40.3    Kasich +7.4
Sanders  43.0    Kasich   42.5    Sanders +0.5
Clinton  46.3    Carson   45.0    Clinton +1.3
Clinton  47.3    Trump    41.0    Clinton +6.3
Cruz     46.2    Clinton  45.4    Cruz +0.8
Rubio    48.0    Clinton  44.0

Remember, head to head competition is not accurate at this point. It's a long way to October.

[jjsheridan5]

Remember, head to head competition is not accurate at this point

"Not accurate" is an understatement. "Useless" would be a better adjective. The primary reason that Trump is doing "badly" in heads-up general election polls is that a sizable chunk of Republican voters are aghast at the idea of Trump as the nominee, or are fully committed to another candidate, and would never express what they would actually do in November. Seriously, heads-up general election polls are worse than useless when describing general election results during a heated primary.

[HamiltonJay]

I’d look out for another upset in the midwest for Bernie tonight.

[SamAdams76]

Remember, head to head competition is not accurate at this point. It's a long way to October.

Head to head polls have historically been wrong. We have the obvious examples of Carter being ahead of Reagan by 30 points in March 1980. Then we have Mike Dukakis with a 17 point lead over George Bush in JULY of 1988.

Then we have the 2008 race in which McCain always polled strongest head to head against the Democrat. In fact, I'm pretty sure there are many Free Republic threads from that era extolling us to vote for McCain in the primaries because he's our "only" chance to beat the Democrat in November. We all know how that turned out.