Kasich might win but it will be close
I think this weekend changed the whole dynamic of this race again. I think Trump will sweep all five states Tuesday, of course that’s not counting in the likely vote stealing by the GOPe especially in Florida and Ohio.
Yes, it will be close if Kasich wins it. But as it's winner-take-all, Trump will be denied 66 very important delegates even if he loses by just one vote. And that would be a shame as it gets us one big step closer to a brokered convention where the GOP establishment will use all the parlor tricks at their disposal to get their boy in.
This does not bode well for Trump or for Cruz.
Trump must win OH, FL, NC and IL at a minimum this Tuesday to put this away. Cruz can and might win MO but that won't hurt Trump so long as he wins the other four big states that are voting that night.
I'm sure many of us will find a way to spin it in Trump's favor if he wins at least FL, NC and IL but losing OH will be a devastating blow because it will drag this process out at least several more weeks and the mainstream media and establishment GOP are now getting traction with regard to planting in the minds of many Americans that Trump is too divisive to be president.
This can't be emphasized enough. If Trump has a clean sweep Tuesday night, Trump cannot be stopped and we can start thinking about the general election. If Trump wins four of five (and loses MO to Cruz), it's still pretty much over. But if Trump loses MO to Cruz and OH to Kasich, this race is far from over.
Tuesday night will be very, very important.