He won’t win North Carolina or Illinois either. Cruz won’t win Pennsylvania, New Jersey or New York. I doubt that old poll is even valid in California anymore. Cruz will find it impossible to win the nomination.
Trump is at 32% in Illinois, Cruz is at 22%. Very possible to win Illinois in a head to head matchup.
Trump is at 28% in North Carolina, Cruz is at 19%. Again, very possible for Cruz to win here in a head to head.
Trump is at 21% in Pennsylvania, with Rubio at 18 and Cruz at 16, Kasich at 16. Cruz wins this in a head to head.
You are correct that Trump wins New Jersey and New York.