Puerto Rico primaryAt stake: 23 delegates territory-wide
Delegate targets: Trump 8, Cruz 8, Rubio 15
We’ll get a good test of whether Hispanics truly “love” Trump this Sunday in the Puerto Rico primary. Most of the political organization on the island is in Rubio’s corner. Puerto Rico was also very friendly to mainstream Republican Mitt Romney in 2012; Romney received 83 percent of the vote. Puerto Rico’s 23 delegates are awarded proportionally to each candidate finishing above 20 percent of the vote. It would be quite a blow to Trump’s “Hispanics love me” argument if he finished below that threshold, though he hasn’t gotten below 20 percent in any contest yet. The 23 delegates become winner-take-all if a candidate gets above 50 percent of the vote.
Looks like Lil' Marco has the best shot.
Rubio or Cruz will get the lion’s share of the votes. Trump might finish last, behind Kasich!