As of 8:18 EST here is where things stand as best I can calculate, keeping in mind that 65 delegates is a good night and keeps Trump ahead of the chains by more than 18% (these are delegates allotted if the numbers hold up):
KS Cruz 19 Trump 11
ME (only 45% of precincts in, a 900 vote difference): Cruz 9 Trump 8
KY Trump 20 Cruz 19 (falling)
TOTAL without LA: Trump 39 for a total of 375. If he gets 46% in LA, he finishes tonight with 396 (barring other changes in ME or KY). If Cruz gets 30% or below in KY, he finishes the night with 56, Trump at 46% finishes with 60.
LS Cruz can not win Maine. See 2012, 2008!
If Trump hangs on in KY and wins LA solidly, it should slightly offset Cruz’s wins in KS and ME. That will leave the state of the race essentially unchanged between Trump and Cruz. Rubio looks to slip even further behind - he’s having an awful night so far.
We’re talking a vote total of about 3500 people in Maine! Ridiculous that the media is insinuating that Cruz can win. He may have an edge in Maine of about 200 votes, but I’d hardly call that a landslide that can be extrapolated nation wide.
Maine:
Cruz - 12 delegates
Trump - 9 delegates
Kasich - ?
Trump needs at least 69 delegates tonight to stay on track.
Thanks, LS!
Thanks for the ping.