Agree. Trump needs at least 69 delegates tonight to stay on track.
If things stay the way they are in KY and ME, he has 35 coming out of KS, ME, and KY for a total of 373.
He won’t get 34 in LA—he’d need 73% of the vote. But he could get 20-22, which puts him at 393-395. After adjustments in the other states, he might be over 400.
His % in KY now just gave him another delegate, so he’s at 34 tonight with LA to come in. I figure him at 45% for LA. Every 2 points he’s above that he should get another delegate. So he would right now be at 395, or 6 short of the 65 goal and 10 short of the “nice to have” goal.
Either keeps him well ahead of the chains, probably about 16% ahead of where he needs to be.