Posted on 03/02/2016 9:00:23 AM PST by Sybeck1
Each of the 60 previous Republican presidential candidates who carried their home state did so with a larger percentage of the vote than Cruz; Cruz is one of only six who failed to reach the 50 percent mark
The Ted Cruz campaign delivered on its promise to win the Texas primary on Tuesday and then exceeded ‘expectations’ by also coming in first place in the neighboring state of Oklahoma and the Alaska caucuses.
With four victories now under his belt, Cruz will attempt to use his comparatively successful electoral track record against the remaining non-Trump candidates (Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Ben Carson) in an attempt to expedite their withdrawal from the race.
To be sure, the Texas U.S. Senator’s victory in his home state – and the most delegate rich state on the primary calendar thus far – was crucial for the Cruz campaign, and avoided an embarrassment that might have pressured him to withdraw after Super Tuesday.
While Cruz escaped that unenviable situation, his victory in Texas is decidedly shy of impressive.
In fact, by one measure, it is the least impressive home state primary victory in party history.
A Smart Politics analysis finds that Ted Cruz’s 43.8 percent showing in Texas marks the lowest support ever recorded by a Republican presidential candidate in a home state victory out of the more than five-dozen campaigns to win their home state since 1912.
Over the last 104 years since the debut of presidential primaries, Republican White House hopefuls have successfully carried their home state in a presidential primary 61 times.
Prior to Cruz’s plurality win in Texas on Tuesday, only five of these candidates failed to win a majority of the primary vote en route to their home state victory:
(Excerpt) Read more at editions.lib.umn.edu ...
Basically there were only 3 viable people on the R ballot last night as Kasich & Carson’s numbers show they were not even considered as in the race and yet Cruz still could not get a majority. And considering that Texas is an open primary state, where Dem’s could choose a Rep ballot, & NY a closed one, it would be like comparing apples to oranges.
And Trump isn’t going to have 5 other competitors? Actually 4 but whatever. Anyway it is irrelevant who votes in these states. The point is that Trump will beat Cruz the percentage in his home state. Cruz had a dismal night last night. Ok not as bad as Rubio but bad enough. Trump took the Evangelical and Conservatives votes in all the southern states. Sorry but that is why Cruz would be a horrible candidate.....can’t even win conservatives.
Neither is Cruz 43% against the New York Con Man or the Cabana boy in his home state
Can’t have it both ways now
“So if Trump doesn’t get 50% in New York, will we see the same article for him?”
Well the NY primary is April. Trump might be all that’s left by then.
“Well the NY primary is April. Trump might be all that’s left by then.”
True.
Rubio’s going to lose Florida...
The strong states for Cruz are pretty much over.
Cruz’s future is behind him. That is why Trump wants to get Rubio out of the race, not Cruz.
What if Trump is the only candidate entitled to be on the first ballot.
Tough to lose that vote, isn’t it?
Texas will vote Trump in the general election in a heartbeat.
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What does a Californian know about Texas?
Not much.
If you go to
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/tx/texas_republican_presidential_primary-3622.html
Trump performed exactly to the poll expectations.
Cruz finished ahead of the polls. Some call that a home field advantage.
Cruz campaign knows he will not win and has already had the discussion with media, not the supporters yet, but the handwriting is on the wall.
Plus, they don’t consider how big the field was in all those other primaries. Having 5 people in the race will, obviously, dilute the vote. Sounds like sour grapes to me.
That’s verbatim how conversations went here in 2012 between newt and santorums versus Romneys
Heard on radio 550 this morning.
A poll worker called in with the story of three people coming in and did not know if they were supposed to vote Democrat or Republican.
When told they must choose, they offered up this little jewel “We just want to vote for Trump whatever party that is”.
Trump voters...go figure.
“It proves my point and even Rush just now mentioned it that the open primary states are over mostly so we’ll see how Mr. Trump does. “
And states that were in the south.
Oh....wait. that was the last BS assertion from the Cruz people that were supposed to guarantee Ted easy wins! Just move from one demographic he seems to think he was entitled to, to the next. Hoping for some bloc of voters that will hand him wins....because reasons.
“plus there are Super Delegates”
No there aren’t.
“Those in KS aren’t leaning in that direction!”
At this point, I dont even think you know what you are talking about.
“This race is ten 10k’s not a thirty yard dash. No sense in wearing ourselves out - yet.”
As long as Cruz keeps losing and coming in 3rd place, you clowns will never see the end because there just gotta be that magic army of sycophants that believe in Cruz as much as his fanboys.
Not sure the meaning of your post.
I voted against Obama two times, didn't you?
Cruz needed to win at least 2 states other than TX to keep his campaign alive, and he did that. OTOH, Rubio’s campaign is on life-support. His strategy of losing everywhere and then winning FL isn’t going to get him the nomination. Anyone contributing to his campaign has mush for brains.
I am disheartened by the way people are so partisan among their own party. Ted Cruz is not that far from Donald Trump yet people seem to hate him for continuing to run. If Cruz were to quit now it isn’t a certainty that Trump would benefit from it. Cruz was the only Senator to try to prevent Obamacare from being funded. Doesn’t that count for anything? Yet people are as vehement about him as they should be about Clinton.
He already won’t be.
The numbers don't look good for his Senate Primary in 2018.
He's vulnerable.
In Texas.
He already won’t be.
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Who will win the majority of delegates in 8 states, besides Trump?
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