Expect a new ice age to start around 2020-5 time frame.
Millions die.
Expect a new ice age to start around 2020-5 time frame.
Millions die.
The optic you posted is many years out of date.
(Excellent article in S&T BTW!)
The decline in umbral magnetic field has also ‘paused’.
http://www.leif.org/research/Livingston%20and%20Penn.png
If it resumes the decline it’ll likely be a bit after 2025 when it crosses the 1500 Gauss line due to a ‘pause’ (different from the temp pause)
As I mis-remember it, the S&T article hinged on a subsurface jetstream like thingy. The claim is/was that the change in latitude of the jetstream could be a predictor of the next 1/2 cycle (~11 years). My antenna is tuned for any follow up but I have not heard of the solar jetstream since the article. The authors of the cited research are prolly selling pencils on streetcorners now, assuming they got all the tar & feathers off.
BTW, Leif Svalgaard who publishes the link I included dis-agree’d with the premise of the S&T article a few years ago. At the time he expected the pause to be a curve upward, which has not happened yet. I think he is of the opinion that the TSI variations are insignificant and the ‘warming’ must have had another source. No idea if he attributes some or all to human activity but he discredits TSI variation as a cause.
Time will tell!
:)
